Homeownership risks grow as climate disasters drive up insurance costs

The rising cost of home insurance, driven by worsening climate disasters, threatens the financial security of millions of Americans and could lead to widespread migration away from high-risk areas.

Abrahm Lustgarten reports for ProPublica.


In short:

  • A new study by First Street Foundation predicts nearly $1.5 trillion in U.S. housing losses over the next 30 years due to rising insurance costs linked to climate disasters.
  • Home insurance premiums have increased 31% since 2019 and could rise another 29%, making homeownership less financially viable in vulnerable regions.
  • The study suggests more than 55 million Americans may relocate due to climate risks in the coming decades, shifting real estate values across the country.

Key quote:

First Street’s Foundation's work “plays the role of Paul Revere, of the challenge we could face if we fail to adapt.”

— Matthew Kahn, economist at the University of Southern California

Why this matters:

Owning a home has long been a primary way for Americans to build wealth, but increasing insurance costs threaten that stability. Climate-driven migration could reshape entire communities, deepen economic inequality and make housing less affordable for future generations.

Related:

A view of the exterior of the National Academy of Sciences building in Washington, DC

Inside the campaign to discredit a key climate science report

An emerging field of research that can measure how much climate change has worsened individual disasters is under attack by friends of the fossil fuel industry.

Oil pump jacks at night with a starry sky in the background

Mark Carney adviser says AI data centres ‘provide markets’ for gas

Boosting energy production is one of the top ‘public policy benefits to Canada’ of data centers, says internal government document.

A view of a Border Patrol vehicle next to a tall metal border wall

‘Every day it’s more barriers’: how the US is shutting out climate refugees

While the US is shutting the doors to most refugees, those already in the country fear for their future in a rapidly heating world.

An airplane on the tarmac

Scientists have made jet fuel from plastic waste

A new process converts hard-to-recycle styrofoam waste into valuable jet fuel at a cost competitive with petroleum-based fuels.
Two women in a kayak floating through a mangrove forest

Mangroves comeback is a rare climate success story

For decades, we've catalogued what we're losing to climate change. A sweeping new study offers something harder to find — evidence that one of the planet's most vital coastal ecosystems is actually winning.

An illustration of a car made out of green grass with a plug icon in the center

COP31 leaders unveil global targets, with spotlight on electrification

The two countries set to lead this year’s COP31 have unveiled three headline goals for November’s UN climate summit — on electrification, waste, and buildings.

From our Newsroom
Multiple Houston-area oil and gas facilities that have violated pollution laws are seeking permit renewals

Multiple Houston-area oil and gas facilities that have violated pollution laws are seeking permit renewals

One facility has emitted cancer-causing chemicals into waterways at levels up to 520% higher than legal limits.

Regulators are underestimating health impacts from air pollution: Study

Regulators are underestimating health impacts from air pollution: Study

"The reality is, we are not exposed to one chemical at a time.”

Pennsylvania governor Josh Shapiro speaks with the state flag and American flag behind him.

Two years into his term, has Gov. Shapiro kept his promises to regulate Pennsylvania’s fracking industry?

A new report assesses the administration’s progress and makes new recommendations

silhouette of people holding hands by a lake at sunset

An open letter from EPA staff to the American public

“We cannot stand by and allow this to happen. We need to hold this administration accountable.”

wildfire retardants being sprayed by plane

New evidence links heavy metal pollution with wildfire retardants

“The chemical black box” that blankets wildfire-impacted areas is increasingly under scrutiny.

Stay informed: sign up for The Daily Climate newsletter
Top news on climate impacts, solutions, politics, drivers. Delivered to your inbox week days.